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US Federal Budget Analyst


FY12 Federal Budget Spending Estimates
for Fiscal Years 2011 - 2016

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US Federal Government Spending
Budget Interest Cost Analysis for FY 12 in $ billion
FY 2011
 Spending
FY 2012
 Spending
FY 2013
 Spending
FY 2014
 Spending
FY 2015
 Spending
FY 2016
 Spending
OMB Budget Numbers1
Interest206.7241.6321.0417.5494.3562.2
Interest Rate %1.341.451.812.232.502.70
Total Spending3,818.83,728.73,770.93,977.14,189.84,467.8
Federal Deficit1,645.11,101.2767.5644.6606.7648.7
Gross Public Debt15,476.216,654.317,750.518,761.219,775.520,825.0
Revised Budget Numbers
Revised Interest201.2249.8568.1773.9902.0999.1
Revised Interest Rate %Go
Revised Total Spending3,813.33,736.94,018.04,333.54,597.54,904.7
Revised Federal Deficit1,639.61,109.51,014.61,000.91,014.41,085.6
Revised Gross Public Debt15,470.716,657.018,000.319,367.320,789.422,275.7
Spending:
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actual budgeted estimated guesstimated
Notes:
1. Budget of the US Government: Table 3.2



The table shows overall budgeted federal expenditures for total spending and interest payments on federal debt for the next five fiscal years. In the first section, labeled “OMB Budget Numbers” you can see the budgeted expenditure as estimated in the historical tables in the current presidential budget. The row labeled “Interest Rate %” is the effective interest rate for the accumulated federal debt for each year and is computed by dividing the budgeted interest cost by the gross public debt.

Under “Revised Budget Numbers” you can input your own estimate of future interest rates for each fiscal year. Click Go to recalculate interest costs and to view the effect of those interest costs on total spending and the accumulated federal debt.

Notes

Data Sources: Federal spending from Budget of the United States Government.

For a discussion of the sources of the government spending data used here read How We Got the Data for usgovernmentspending.com.

Budget Updates: The president’s budget is typically published each year in February.

Download Federal Interest Forecast for 2011-2016

You can download budget data as a CSV file or directly as a tab-delimited table.

Download Data as CSV File

 Click button to download CSV file of data in table

Tab-delimited Table

Here is the interest forecast table with columns tab-delimited. You can cut and paste directly into a spreadsheet:

You can copy all the text in the textbox by clicking your cursor in the box. Then press Ctrl-A and Ctrl-C and paste the text into your spreadsheet.

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1890.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Federal Deficit and Outlay Actuals for FY16

On October 14, 2016, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement (and xls) for September that the federal deficit for FY 2016 ending September 30 was $587 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 2017 federal budget published in February 2016:

Federal Finances
FY 2016 Outcomes
Budget
billions
Outcome
billions
Receipts $3,336$3,267
Outlays$3,951$3,854
Deficit$616$587

usfederalbudget.us now shows the new numbers for total FY 2016 outlays and receipts on its Estimate vs. Actual page.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes ""Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2015 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post federal receipt actuals for FY 2016.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2016 and Other Periods".   This table of outlays by function makes it possible for usgovernmentspending.com to estimate actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2016 by factoring budgeted amounts by the difference between budgeted and actual "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY 2016 numbers will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2018 federal budget is published in February 2017 with the actual outlays for FY 2016 in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.

Spend links

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Christopher Chantrill.

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