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US Federal Budget Analyst


FY12 Federal Budget Spending Estimates
for Fiscal Years 2011 - 2016

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US Federal Government Spending
Budget Interest Cost Analysis for FY 12 in $ billion
FY 2011
 Spending
FY 2012
 Spending
FY 2013
 Spending
FY 2014
 Spending
FY 2015
 Spending
FY 2016
 Spending
OMB Budget Numbers1
Interest206.7241.6321.0417.5494.3562.2
Interest Rate %1.341.451.812.232.502.70
Total Spending3,818.83,728.73,770.93,977.14,189.84,467.8
Federal Deficit1,645.11,101.2767.5644.6606.7648.7
Gross Public Debt15,476.216,654.317,750.518,761.219,775.520,825.0
Revised Budget Numbers
Revised Interest201.2299.8408.5545.0795.01,075.7
Revised Interest Rate %Go
Revised Total Spending3,813.33,786.83,858.44,104.74,490.54,981.3
Revised Federal Deficit1,639.61,159.4855.1772.1907.41,162.2
Revised Gross Public Debt15,470.716,706.917,890.719,028.920,343.921,907.0
Spending:
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actual budgeted estimated guesstimated
Notes:
1. Budget of the US Government: Table 3.2



The table shows overall budgeted federal expenditures for total spending and interest payments on federal debt for the next five fiscal years. In the first section, labeled “OMB Budget Numbers” you can see the budgeted expenditure as estimated in the historical tables in the current presidential budget. The row labeled “Interest Rate %” is the effective interest rate for the accumulated federal debt for each year and is computed by dividing the budgeted interest cost by the gross public debt.

Under “Revised Budget Numbers” you can input your own estimate of future interest rates for each fiscal year. Click Go to recalculate interest costs and to view the effect of those interest costs on total spending and the accumulated federal debt.

Notes

Data Sources: Federal spending from Budget of the United States Government.

For a discussion of the sources of the government spending data used here read How We Got the Data for usgovernmentspending.com.

Budget Updates: The president’s budget is typically published each year in February.

Download Federal Interest Forecast for 2011-2016

You can download budget data as a CSV file or directly as a tab-delimited table.

Download Data as CSV File

 Click button to download CSV file of data in table

Tab-delimited Table

Here is the interest forecast table with columns tab-delimited. You can cut and paste directly into a spreadsheet:

You can copy all the text in the textbox by clicking your cursor in the box. Then press Ctrl-A and Ctrl-C and paste the text into your spreadsheet.

Top Spending Requests:

Find DEFICIT stats and history.

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US BUDGET overview and pie chart.

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See FEDERAL BUDGET breakdown and estimated vs. actual.

MILITARY SPENDING details, budget and history.

ENTITLEMENT SPENDING history.

See BAR CHARTS of spending, debt.

Check STATE spending: CA NY TX FL and compare.

See SPENDING ANALYSIS briefing.

See SPENDING HISTORY briefing.

Take a COURSE at Spending 101.

Make your own CUSTOM CHART.

Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1890.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Next Data Update

> Federal Budget FY18

> data update schedule.

Data Sources for 2011_2016:

Sources for 2011:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2016:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

FY18 Budget Blueprint Released

On March 16, 2018 the Trump administration issued a Budget Blueprint outlining proposed changes to "discretionary" spending for Fiscal Year 2018. The following table shows the major changes to Budget Authority in excess of $2 billion per agency.

AgencyFY18 Change
in $ billion
Agriculture-4.7
Defense+52.4
Education-9.2
Health and
Human Services
-12.6
Homeland
Security
+2.8
HUD-6.2
Justice-4.0
Labor-2.5
State and Intl Aid-10.9
Veterans+4.4
EPA-2.6

Because usgovernmentspending spending data is based on Historical Table 3.2, it shows spending by function rather than by agency. Until Table 3.2 is published in the final version of the FY18 budget we cannot exactly predict how the Table 3.2 numbers will change at the subfunction level.

But we have applied the Budget Blueprint budget authority changes into the budgeted FY18 outlays by guessing the application of agency level changes to subfunction changes to give a rough feeling of what the Trump changes look like. You can check out what is going on here or here.

The numbers will change when the final FY18 federal budget numbers come out.

Spend links

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usgovernmentspending.com was designed and executed by:

Christopher Chantrill.

Email here.


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