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US Federal Budget Analyst


FY12 Federal Budget Spending Estimates
for Fiscal Years 2011 - 2016

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US Federal Government Spending
Budget Interest Cost Analysis for FY 12 in $ billion
FY 2011
 Spending
FY 2012
 Spending
FY 2013
 Spending
FY 2014
 Spending
FY 2015
 Spending
FY 2016
 Spending
OMB Budget Numbers1
Interest206.7241.6321.0417.5494.3562.2
Interest Rate %1.341.451.812.232.502.70
Total Spending3,818.83,728.73,770.93,977.14,189.84,467.8
Federal Deficit1,645.11,101.2767.5644.6606.7648.7
Gross Public Debt15,476.216,654.317,750.518,761.219,775.520,825.0
Revised Budget Numbers
Revised Interest201.2299.8408.5545.0795.01,075.7
Revised Interest Rate %Go
Revised Total Spending3,813.33,786.83,858.44,104.74,490.54,981.3
Revised Federal Deficit1,639.61,159.4855.1772.1907.41,162.2
Revised Gross Public Debt15,470.716,706.917,890.719,028.920,343.921,907.0
Spending:
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actual budgeted estimated guesstimated
Notes:
1. Budget of the US Government: Table 3.2



The table shows overall budgeted federal expenditures for total spending and interest payments on federal debt for the next five fiscal years. In the first section, labeled “OMB Budget Numbers” you can see the budgeted expenditure as estimated in the historical tables in the current presidential budget. The row labeled “Interest Rate %” is the effective interest rate for the accumulated federal debt for each year and is computed by dividing the budgeted interest cost by the gross public debt.

Under “Revised Budget Numbers” you can input your own estimate of future interest rates for each fiscal year. Click Go to recalculate interest costs and to view the effect of those interest costs on total spending and the accumulated federal debt.

Notes

Data Sources: Federal spending from Budget of the United States Government.

For a discussion of the sources of the government spending data used here read How We Got the Data for usgovernmentspending.com.

Budget Updates: The president’s budget is typically published each year in February.

Download Federal Interest Forecast for 2011-2016

You can download budget data as a CSV file or directly as a tab-delimited table.

Download Data as CSV File

 Click button to download CSV file of data in table

Tab-delimited Table

Here is the interest forecast table with columns tab-delimited. You can cut and paste directly into a spreadsheet:

You can copy all the text in the textbox by clicking your cursor in the box. Then press Ctrl-A and Ctrl-C and paste the text into your spreadsheet.

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1890.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Next Data Update

> Federal Budget FY16

> data update schedule.

Federal Budget for FY17 Released

On February 9, 2016, we updated usgovernmentspending.com with the numbers from the historical tables in the Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 2017. Actual revenue for FY 2015 and estimated revenue through FY 2021 come from Historical Tables 2.1, 2.4, and 2.5. Actual spending for FY 2015 and estimated spending at the subfunction level through FY 2021 comes from Table 3.2. Budget Authority estimates come from Table 5.1, federal debt estimates come from Table 7.1 and GDP estimates come from Table 10.1. Intergovernmental transfers come from Table 12.3.

Here is how headline budget estimates for the upcoming FY 2017 fiscal year have changed since the release of the FY 2016 budget a year ago in 2015.

FY 2017 Federal Budget Changes Since 2015
$ billionEstimate in
FY16 Budget
Estimate in
FY17 Budget
Change
Federal Outlays$4,217.8$4,147.2-$70.6
Federal Receipts$3,755.0$3,643.7-$111.3
Federal Deficit$462.8$503.5+$40.7

You can see line item changes from budget to budget here. You can compare budget estimates with actuals here.

Account level spending estimates through FY 2021 come from the Outlays table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on February 9, 2016.

Account level budget authority estimates through FY 2021 come from the Budget Authority table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on February 9, 2016.

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