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US Federal Budget Analyst


FY20 Federal Budget Spending Estimates
for Fiscal Years 2019 - 2024

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US Federal Government Spending
Budget Interest Cost Analysis for FY 20 in $ billion
FY 2019
 Spending
FY 2020
 Spending
FY 2021
 Spending
FY 2022
 Spending
FY 2023
 Spending
FY 2024
 Spending
OMB Budget Numbers1
Interest393.5478.8547.5609.9663.7701.7
Interest Rate %1.731.992.162.302.402.46
Total Spending4,529.24,745.64,945.25,177.55,330.15,453.0
Federal Deficit1,091.51,100.81,068.31,048.9908.6700.5
Gross Public Debt22,775.624,057.525,333.026,544.327,644.628,581.5
Revised Budget Numbers
Revised Interest393.5478.8547.5609.9663.7701.7
Revised Interest Rate %Go
Revised Total Spending4,529.24,745.64,945.25,177.55,330.15,453.0
Revised Federal Deficit1,091.51,100.81,068.31,048.9908.6700.5
Revised Gross Public Debt22,775.624,057.525,333.026,544.327,644.628,581.5
Spending:
Pie Chart: Select a pie chart you wish to display. You can create a pie chart for federal, state and local, and overall spending/revenue.
estimated budgeted guesstimated

Data Source:
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1



The table shows overall budgeted federal expenditures for total spending and interest payments on federal debt for the next five fiscal years. In the first section, labeled “OMB Budget Numbers” you can see the budgeted expenditure as estimated in the historical tables in the current presidential budget. The row labeled “Interest Rate %” is the effective interest rate for the accumulated federal debt for each year and is computed by dividing the budgeted interest cost by the gross public debt.

Under “Revised Budget Numbers” you can input your own estimate of future interest rates for each fiscal year. Click Go to recalculate interest costs and to view the effect of those interest costs on total spending and the accumulated federal debt.

Notes

Data Sources: Federal spending from Budget of the United States Government.

For a discussion of the sources of the government spending data used here read How We Got the Data for usgovernmentspending.com.

Budget Updates: The president’s budget is typically published each year in February.

Download Federal Interest Forecast for 2019-2024

You can download budget data as a CSV file or directly as a tab-delimited table.

Download Data as CSV File

 Click button to download CSV file of data in table

Tab-delimited Table

Here is the interest forecast table with columns tab-delimited. You can cut and paste directly into a spreadsheet:

You can copy all the text in the textbox by clicking your cursor in the box. Then press Ctrl-A and Ctrl-C and paste the text into your spreadsheet.

US Treasury Securities Yield Curve for June 11, 2018

The US Treasury Yield Curve show the current yield of the full range of securities issued by the US Treasury, from One Month Treasury Bills to 30 Year Treasury Bonds. It is considered by experts that a “normal” yield curve, where every security with a longer maturity has a yield greater than all securities with a shorter maturity, is the sign of a growing economy.

US Treasury Securities Yield Curve for November 28,2006

An “inverted” yield curve, where US securities with shorter maturity have yields greater than some securities with a longer maturity, is a flashing red sign indicating recession ahead.





Suggested Video: What is the Deficit?

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MILITARY SPENDING details, budget and history.

ENTITLEMENT SPENDING history.

See BAR CHARTS of spending, debt.

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See SPENDING ANALYSIS briefing.

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Take a COURSE at Spending 101.

Make your own CUSTOM CHART.

Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Next Data Update

> State Quarterly Taxes FY17

> data update schedule.

Data Sources for 2019_2024:

Sources for 2019:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2024:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

CBO Long Term Budget Outlook for 2019

On June 25, 2019 the Congressional Budget Office released its annual Long Term Budget Outlook for 2019, which projects federal spending and revenue out into the 2040s.  As before, the CBO study shows that federal health-care programs and interest costs will eat the budget, with federal spending exceeding 28 percent GDP by mid century while federal revenue stays below 20 percent GDP.

UsGovernmentspending.com has updated its chart of the CBO Long Term Budget Outlook here.  You can download the data and also view CBO Long Term Budget Outlooks going back to 1999.

Spend links

us numbersus budgetcustom chartdeficit/gdpspend/gdpdebt/gdpus gdpus real gdpstate gdpbreakdownfederalstatelocal201720182019californiatexas

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usgovernmentspending.com was designed and executed by:

Christopher Chantrill.

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