Site Map  enter code:

 

    Contact    

US Federal Budget Analysis using FY27 OMB Budget

 

Source: Budget of the United States Government
 

Rising US Federal Spending

Rising Federal Spending

Chart B.01f: Rising Federal Spending

US Federal Spending rose steadily in the late 2010s. Spending bumped up to $6.8 trillion in the COVID emergency. Federal spending will continue to rise throughout the 2020s.

In FY2025 US federal spending was $7.01 trillion.

Rising Federal Spending as Pcnt GDP

Chart B.02f: Rising Federal Spending as Pcnt GDP

In terms of percent of GDP, federal spending was steady at 20 percent of GDP in the late 2010s, ballooned to 31 percent GDP in the COVID emergency, and is budgeted to be around 25 percent of GDP throughout the rest of the 2020s.

In FY2025 US federal spending was 22.8 percent GDP.

Rising Federal Deficits

Rising Federal Deficit

Chart B.03f: Rising Federal Deficit

The US Federal Deficit rose steadily in the late 2010s. The Deficit bumped up to $3.1 trillion in 2020 in the COVID emergency. The Federal Deficit is budgeted to stay at over $1.5 trillion a year in the late 2020s.

In FY2025 The US Federal Deficit was $1.8 trillion.

Rising Federal Deficit as Pcnt GDP

Chart B.04f: Rising Federal Deficit as Pcnt GDP

In terms of percent of GDP, the US Federal Deficit doubled in the late 2010s, ballooned to 14.9 percent GDP in the COVID emergency, and is budgeted to be around 5 percent of GDP by the end of the 2020s.

In FY2025 The US Federal Deficit was 5.8 percent GDP.

Rising Federal Debt

Rising Federal Debt

Chart B.05f: Rising Federal Debt

The US Federal Debt rose steadily in the late 2010s, hitting $20 trillion in 2017 and $30 trillion in 2022. The Federal Debt is budgeted to hit $40 trillion in 2027.

In FY2025 The US Federal Debt was $37.37 trillion.

Rising Federal Debt as Percent GDP

Chart B.06f: Rising Federal Debt as Percent GDP

In terms of percent of GDP, the US Federal Debt was rising steadily in the late 2010s, ballooned to 128 percent GDP in the COVID emergency, and is budgeted to be around 130 percent of GDP by the end of the 2020s.

In FY2025 The US Federal Debt was 121.5 percent GDP.

Rising Federal Interest Outlays

Rising Federal Interest

Chart B.07f: Rising Federal Interest

The US Federal Interest outlays rose steadily in the late 2010s, hitting $400 billion in 2019. Starting in 2022, when the Federal Reserve system started increasing interest rates, US Federal Interest outlays have skyrocketed, and are expected to reach $1 trillion per year by the end of the 2020s.

In FY2025 The US Federal Interest was $970 billion.

Rising Federal Interest as Pcnt GGP

Chart B.08f: Rising Federal Interest as Pcnt GGP

In terms of percent of GDP, the US Federal Interest outlays were rising steadily in the late 2010s, but then went down in the COVID emergency. Starting in 2022 and higher interest rates, US Federal Interest outlays have nearly doubled, and are expected to hit 3 percent of GDP by the end of the 2020s.

In FY2025 The US Federal Interest outlays were 3.2 percent GDP.

Rising Inflation

Rising US Inflation

Chart B.09f: Rising US Inflation

Inflation began to rise in the decade of the 2010s, from 1 percent to over 2 percent by 2018. But inflation dropped during the COVID emergency.

In the aftermath of COVID US inflation has increased sharply to 7.2 percent in 2022 in response to the sharp increase in the money supply in 2020 and 2021. But the OMB forecasts lower inflation in the second half of the 2020s. In FY2025 US Inflation was 2.9 percent.

Suggested Video: What is the Deficit?

Top Debt Requests:

Find DEFICIT stats and history.

US BUDGET overview and pie chart.

Find NATIONAL DEBT today.

See FEDERAL BUDGET breakdown and estimated vs. actual.

See BAR CHARTS of debt, debt.

Check STATE debt: CA NY TX FL and compare.

See DEBT ANALYSIS briefing.

See DEBT HISTORY briefing.

Take a COURSE at Spending 101.

Make your own CUSTOM CHART.

Debt Data Sources

Debt data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of debt data sources here.

Federal debt data begins in 1792.

State and local debt data begins in 1820.

State and local debt data for individual states begins in 1957.


Spending 101 Courses

Spending | Federal Debt | Revenue | Defense | Welfare | Healthcare | Education
Debt History | Entitlements | Deficits | State Spending | State Taxes | State Debt


There’s More...

usgovernmentspending.com.

Where you go to get facts about government.

Prepared by Christopher Chantrill.
email: chrischantrill@gmail.com

Click the image on the right to buy usgovernmentspending.com’s ebook.
It costs only $1.99 and it contains all the analyses of spending history
on the website and more.

Gross Federal Debt

Debt Now:  $38,380,536,147,996.03
Debt 2/2020:$23,409,959,150,243.63

Site Search

Win Cash for Bugs

File a valid bug report and get a $5 Amazon Gift Certificate.

Get the Books


Price: $0.99
Or download
for free.

From
usgovernment
spending.com
Price: $1.99

Life after liberalism Price: $0.99
Or download
for free.

US Government Spending 2020: only 99¢.

US Government Spending 2012: free.

Data Sources for 2021_2031:

Sources for 2021:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2031:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

Blog

Federal Budget for FY27 Released

On April 4, 2026, we updated usgovernmentspending.com with the numbers from the Public Budget Database in the Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 2027

Here is how headline budget estimates for the upcoming FY 2027 fiscal year have changed since the release of the FY 2025 budget in Winter 2024. There were no budgetary estimates in the budget documents for the FY 2026 budget.

Federal Budget Changes for 2027
$ billionEstimate for 2027
in FY2025 Budget
Estimate for 2027
in FY2027 Budget
Change
Federal Outlays$7,696.6$8,092.9 +$569.1
Federal Receipts$6,186.2$5,921.0+$279.1
Federal Deficit$1,510.3$2,171.9+$290.0

You can see line item changes from budget to budget here. You can compare budget estimates with actuals here.

Account level spending estimates through FY 2031 come from the Outlays table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on April 4, 2026.

Account level budget authority estimates through FY 2031 come from the Budget Authority table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on April 4, 2026. 

US GDP for 2025 Released
On March 15, 2026 usgovernmentspending.com updated its GDP series with the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis ...

US, State Population Update for 2025
On January 21, 2026 the US Census Bureau released its US national and state population estimates for July 1, 2025.  On February 7, 2026 usgovernmentspending.com updated its US and state popula ...

> blog

Spend Links

us numbersus budgetcustom chartdeficit/gdpspend/gdpdebt/gdpus gdpus real gdpstate gdpbreakdownfederalstatelocal202420252026californiatexas

Masthead

usgovernmentspending.com was designed and executed by:

Christopher Chantrill.

Email here.


presented by Christopher Chantrill

Data Sources  •   •  Contact

closed