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Medicare Trustees Report 2023

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Use the controls below to CUSTOMIZE chart or CHANGE the data series

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Chart Title: You can create a title for your chart. Use the text field to enter a title and click the button to the right of the text field.
Chart Size: By default, the chart is displayed at medium size. But you can use the dropdown control to change the size.
Color: By default charts are displayed with color data lines and fill. You can change this to grayscale if you want.
Report Year: By default, the chart displays actual and forecast spending from the latest trustees report. But you can change to look at the reports from previous years.

Data Range

Start Year: You can select any start year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a start year to get close, then select the start year you want.
End Year: You can select any end year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select an end year to get close, then select the end year you want.

The chart shows the latest forecast for the cost, in percent of GDP, of the federal government’s Medicare program for seniors through 2095. It shows the cost of each of the three major parts of Medicare: the Part A Hospital Insurance program, the Part B Supplementary Medical Insurance program and the Part D Supplementary Medical Insurance drug benefit. See the Center for Medicare and Medicaid’s website for more details.

The numbers are obtained from the current 2023 Medicare Trustees Report using numbers from a spreadsheet “HI and SMI Incurred Expenditures as a Percentage of the Gross Domestic Product” available in Expanded and Suppplementary Tables.

If you’d like to create your own custom chart of spending data you should use the table above to make your selections.

  • Select the year range: Select the start year and the end year you want by selecting the years you want in the two year dropdown boxes.
  • Choose chart features: You can select the size of the chart, select color or black and white. You can also blow up the chart to fill the screen with the “full screen” tab control above the chart display.

Download Data

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Download Data File

 

Click button to download CSV file of dataset in chart.
 

Download Tab-delimited Data

Copy and Paste: To copy and paste data into spreadsheet for analysis, just copy the tab-delimited text in the textbox below (click cursor in text box, then press ctrl-A then press ctrl-C) and paste it into your spreadsheet.

View Data Series

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Below is a formatted version of the data displayed in the chart.

Medicare Trustees Report 2023
Fiscal Years 2022 to 2095
YearMedicare Part A
percent GDP
Medicare Part B
percent GDP
Medicare Part D
percent GDP
20221.48a1.78a0.46a
20231.52e1.88e0.47e
20241.53e1.95e0.5e
20251.58e2.03e0.53e
20261.62e2.12e0.54e
20271.68e2.22e0.54e
20281.73e2.33e0.54e
20291.79e2.42e0.54e
20301.83e2.5e0.54e
20311.88e2.59e0.53e
20321.93e2.67e0.54e
20331.99e2.78e0.54e
20342.02e2.85e0.54e
20352.04e2.92e0.55e
20362.06e2.99e0.55e
20372.08e3.05e0.55e
20382.09e3.1e0.55e
20392.11e3.14e0.55e
20402.12e3.18e0.55e
20412.13e3.21e0.55e
20422.14e3.24e0.55e
20432.14e3.26e0.55e
20442.14e3.27e0.55e
20452.15e3.29e0.55e
20462.15e3.29e0.56e
20472.15e3.3e0.56e
20482.14e3.3e0.56e
20492.14e3.3e0.56e
20502.14e3.31e0.57e
20512.13e3.32e0.57e
20522.13e3.32e0.57e
20532.12e3.33e0.58e
20542.12e3.34e0.58e
20552.11e3.36e0.59e
20562.11e3.37e0.59e
20572.11e3.39e0.6e
20582.11e3.4e0.6e
20592.1e3.41e0.6e
20602.1e3.43e0.61e
20612.1e3.44e0.61e
20622.1e3.45e0.62e
20632.1e3.46e0.62e
20642.1e3.48e0.62e
20652.1e3.49e0.63e
20662.11e3.5e0.63e
20672.11e3.51e0.63e
20682.11e3.51e0.64e
20692.11e3.52e0.64e
20702.11e3.53e0.64e
20712.11e3.54e0.64e
20722.12e3.54e0.65e
20732.12e3.55e0.65e
20742.12e3.56e0.65e
20752.12e3.56e0.66e
20762.11e3.56e0.66e
20772.11e3.57e0.66e
20782.11e3.57e0.66e
20792.1e3.57e0.66e
20802.1e3.57e0.66e
20812.09e3.56e0.67e
20822.09e3.56e0.67e
20832.08e3.56e0.67e
20842.07e3.55e0.67e
20852.07e3.54e0.67e
20862.06e3.53e0.67e
20872.05e3.53e0.67e
20882.04e3.52e0.67e
20892.03e3.51e0.67e
20902.03e3.5e0.67e
20912.02e3.5e0.67e
20922.01e3.49e0.67e
20932e3.49e0.67e
20941.99e3.48e0.67e
20951.99e3.48e0.67e

Legend:
a - actual reported
e - estimated by Trustees

Data source: Medicare Trustees Report

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

Gross Federal Debt

Debt Now:  $34,544,912,251,854.53
Debt 2/2020:$23,409,959,150,243.63

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Data Sources for 2022_2095:

Sources for 2022:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2095:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

Blog

Federal Budget for FY25 Released

On March 11, 2024, we updated usgovernmentspending.com with the numbers from the Public Budget Database in the Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 2025

Here is how headline budget estimates for the upcoming FY 2024 fiscal year have changed since the release of the FY 2024 budget a year ago in Winter 2023.

Federal Budget Changes for 2024
$ billionEstimate for 2024
in FY2024 Budget
Estimate for 2024
in FY2025 Budget
Change
Federal Outlays$6,371.8$6,940.9 +$569.1
Federal Receipts$4,802.5$5,081.6+$279.1
Federal Deficit$1,569.4$1,859.4+$290.0

You can see line item changes from budget to budget here. You can compare budget estimates with actuals here.

Account level spending estimates through FY 2029 come from the Outlays table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on March 11, 2024.

Account level budget authority estimates through FY 2029 come from the Budget Authority table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on March 11, 2024. 

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On March 11, 2024, usgovernmentspending.com updated its data for agency debt from the Federal Reserve Board database. Data is now available for the period 1945-2023. You can see our Agency Debt pag ...

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On January 19, 2024 usgovernmentspending.com updated its GDP series with the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, ...

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