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What is the spending on Social Security?

In FY 2025 the federal government spent $1,581 billion on Social Security.

Social Security Spending Analysis

This page shows the current trends in Social Security spending on the OASI and DI programs. There are also charts on OASI and DI spending history. See here for a general history of entitlement spending. See here for spending forecast from latest OASDI Trustees Report.

Recent Social Security Spending

Recent Social Security Spending

Chart S.11f: Recent Social Security Spending

Social Security spending has been increasing steadily every year. Back in 2007 Old Age Survivor Insurance (OASI) spending was $486 billion a year, and Disability Insurance (DI) spending was about $100 billion a year. By 2012 OASI had increased to $635 billion and DI to $139 billion. By 2018 Social Security spending was hitting $1 trillion a year, with OASI at $841 billion and DI at $147 billion.

In 2025 OASI spending was $1,421 billion and DI spending was $160 billion.

Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Chart S.12f: Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Viewed from a GDP perspective, Social Security spending has been pretty stable in the last decade. In 2005 spending was 4 percent of GDP. By 2013 it had increased to 4.85 percent GDP. In the COVID year of 2020 Social Security Spending blipped up to 5.06 percent of GDP.

Social Security spending for 2025 was 5.4 percent GDP, with OASI spending at 4.8 percent GDP and DI spending at 0.5 percent GDP.

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US Social Security Spending Since 1935

Social Security benefits cost about 5 percent of GDP each year.

Social Security Program Growth

Social Security Spending since 1935

Chart S.13f: Social Security Spending since 1935

Social Security, the federal old-age pension program, was passed in 1935 in time for the 1936 presidential election. The first old-age benefits were distributed in 1938.

Social Security benefits were modest in the early years and did not exceed one percent of GDP until 1955. But the program cost increased rapidly, reaching 2.2 percent of GDP in 1960.

Benefit increase slowed somewhat in the 1960s, reaching 3.2 percent in 1971. Costs increased again in the early 1970s before peaking at 4.81 percent in 1983.

Social Security benefits as a percent of GDP slowly declined for the rest of the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s down to a low of 4.0 percent of GDP in 2005. But the Great Recession o 2007-09 bumped Social Security up to 4.72 percent of GDP in 2010. Social Security spending has been just under 5 percent GDP since 2013. In 2025 Social Security spending was 5.39 percent GDP.

 

Social Security Disability Insurance Growth

Social Security Spending

Chart S.14f: Social Security Spending

The Social Security Disability Insurance Program was enacted in the 1950s and payments began in 1958. Eligibility requirements relaxed in the 1980s.

Starting from zero in 1957 Social Security’s Disability Insurance program reached 0.5 percent of GDP in 1975.

Peaking at 0.55 percent of GDP in the early 1980s, payments declined to a low of 0.43 percent in 1990. But then payments increased, breaching 0.5 percent of GDP in 1993 and 0.6 percent of GDP in 2002. DI reached 0.7 percent of GDP in 2006 and peaked at 0.85 percent of GDP in 2011-13. In 2025 DI was 0.55 percent GDP.

Social Security OASDI Trustees Report

Social Security will cost over 6 percent of GDP by 2037.

OASDI Trustees Report

Chart 2.93: OASDI Trustees Report

Every year the Social Security Administration publishes an OASDI Trustees Report. The latest report was published in March 2023.

The 2023 trustees report shows that Social Security’s two main programs, the Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) program and the Disability Insurance (DI) program cost 4.89 percent of GDP between them in 2022. The OASI program cost 4.31 percent of GDP and the DI program cost 0.58 percent of GDP.

Over the years since the Crash of 2008 Social Security costs have increased sharply as a percent of GDP. OASI has gone from 3.38 percent of GDP in 2007 to 4.03 percent of GDP in 2013; DI has gone from 0.67 percent of GDP in 2007 to a peak of 0.86 percent of GDP in 2012.

In the medium term Social Security costs are forecast to increase to 6 percent of GDP by 2040 and then max out at about 6.3 percent of GDP in the 2070s. OASI will be the main driver, hitting 5 percent of GDP in 2028 and increasing to 5.7 percent of GDP in 2075. DI costs are expected to decline slowly from 0.83 percent of GDP in 2014 to 0.60 percent of GDP in the mid 2030s and increasing to 0.69 percent GDP in the 2050s.

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Data Sources for 2021_2029:

Sources for 2021:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2029:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

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Federal Deficit, Receipts, Outlays Actuals for FY 2025

On October 16, 2025, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement (and xlsx) for September that the federal deficit for FY 2025 ending September 30, 2025, was $1,775 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 2025 federal budget published in February 2024:

Federal Finances
FY 2025 Outcomes
Budget
billions
Outcome
billions
Receipts $5,485$5,235
Outlays$7,226$7,010
Deficit$1,781$1,775

We use the spending projections from the FY 2025 budget because the Federal government did not publish spending projections in its Budget for Fiscal Year 2026 as originally published in May 2025.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2025 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post details of federal receipt actuals for FY 2025. usdgovernmentspending.com obtains the data for outlays and receipts from apis at fiscaldata.treasury.gov.

This MTS report on FY 2025 actuals is a problem for usgovernmentspending.com because this site uses Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction from the Budget of the United States as its basic source for federal subfunction outlays. But the Monthly Treasury Statement only includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2025 and Other Periods". Subfunction amounts don't get reported until the FY27 budget in February 2026. Until then usgovernmentspending.com estimates actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2025 by factoring subfunction budgeted amounts for FY25 by the ratio between relevant actual and budgeted "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY 2025 actuals will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2027 federal budget is published in February 2026 with the actual outlays for FY 2025 in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.
State and Local Finances for 2023
On September 11, 2025 we updated the state and local spending and revenue for FY 2023 using the new Census Bureau  ...

State Spending for 2023
In March 2025 the US Census Bureau released data on state finances for FY 2023 here and  ...

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