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Social Security Trustees Report 2025
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| Chart Size: By default, the chart is displayed at medium size. But you can use the dropdown control to change the size. Color: By default charts are displayed with color data lines and fill. You can change this to grayscale if you want. Report Year: By default, the chart displays
actual and forecast spending from the latest trustees report. But you can change to look at
the reports from previous years. |
Data Range Start Year: You can select any start year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a start year to get close, then select the start year you want. End Year: You can select any end year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select an end year to get close, then select the end year you want. |
The chart shows a forecast from an annual government report for the cost, in percent of GDP, of the federal government’s Social Security program for seniors through 2100. It shows the individual cost of the two major parts of Social Security: the Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI)program and the Disability Insurance (DI) program. See the Social Security Administration’s website for more details.
The numbers are obtained from the SSA’s Reports from the Trustees using numbers from two spreadsheets here.
The overall cost of both programs as a percent of GDP is obtained from a table called in 2025 Table VI.G2: “OASDI and HI Annual Income, Cost, and Balance as a Percentage of GDP, Calendar Years 1970-2095.” The breakdown in cost between OASI and DI was obtained form a table called in 2025 Table IV.B1: “Annual Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances, Calendar Years 1970-2095.” The names of the tables change slightly from year to year.
If you’d like to create your own custom chart of spending data you should use the controls above to make your selections.
- Select the report date: Select the OASDI report for a different year.
- Select the year range: Select the start year and the end year you want by selecting the years you want in the two year dropdown boxes.
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View Data Series
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Below is a formatted version of the data displayed in the chart.
| Year | Social Security OASI percent GDP | Social Security DI percent GDP | ||||
| 2026 | 4.79 | e | 0.57 | e | ||
| 2027 | 4.86 | e | 0.58 | e | ||
| 2028 | 4.94 | e | 0.56 | e | ||
| 2029 | 5.01 | e | 0.54 | e | ||
| 2030 | 5.07 | e | 0.53 | e | ||
| 2031 | 5.12 | e | 0.52 | e | ||
| 2032 | 5.16 | e | 0.52 | e | ||
| 2033 | 5.19 | e | 0.52 | e | ||
| 2034 | 5.22 | e | 0.52 | e | ||
| 2035 | 5.24 | e | 0.53 | e | ||
| 2040 | 5.31 | e | 0.55 | e | ||
| 2045 | 5.27 | e | 0.6 | e | ||
| 2050 | 5.28 | e | 0.62 | e | ||
| 2055 | 5.34 | e | 0.64 | e | ||
| 2060 | 5.47 | e | 0.63 | e | ||
| 2065 | 5.57 | e | 0.62 | e | ||
| 2070 | 5.66 | e | 0.62 | e | ||
| 2075 | 5.76 | e | 0.6 | e | ||
| 2080 | 5.79 | e | 0.59 | e | ||
| 2085 | 5.75 | e | 0.58 | e | ||
| 2090 | 5.61 | e | 0.59 | e | ||
| 2095 | 5.51 | e | 0.6 | e | ||
| 2100 | 5.47 | e | 0.61 | e | ||
Legend: Data source: Social Security Trustees Report, Table VI.G4 | ||||||
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Spending Data Sources
Spending data is from official government sources.
- Federal spending data since 1962 comes from the president’s budget.
- All other spending data comes from the US Census Bureau.
Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.
Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.
Federal spending data begins in 1792.
State and local spending data begins in 1820.
State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.
Gross Federal Debt
| Debt Now: | $37,889,756,572,760.44 | Debt 2/2020: | $23,409,959,150,243.63 |
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Data Sources for 2015_2100:
Sources for 2015:
GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
Sources for 2100:
GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years
> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.
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