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What is the spending on Social Security?

In FY 2023 the federal government spent $1,354 billion on Social Security.

Social Security Spending Analysis

This page shows the current trends in Social Security spending on the OASI and DI programs. There are also charts on OASI and DI spending history. See here for a general history of entitlement spending. See here for spending forecast from latest OASDI Trustees Report.

Recent Social Security Spending

Recent Social Security Spending

Chart S.11f: Recent Social Security Spending

Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Chart S.12f: Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Social Security spending has been increasing steadily every year. Back in 2007 Old Age Survivor Insurance (OASI) spending was $486 billion a year, and Disability Insurance (DI) spending was about $100 billion a year. By 2012 OASI had increased to $635 billion and DI to $139 billion. In 2023 OASI spending was $1,202 billion and DI spending was $153 billion.

Viewed from a GDP perspective, Social Security spending has been pretty stable in the last decade. In 2005 spending was 4 percent of GDP. By 2013 it had increased to 4.85 percent GDP. Social Security spending for 2023 was 4.9 percent GDP, with OASI spending at 4.4 percent GDP and DI spending at 0.6 percent GDP.

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US Social Security Spending Since 1935

Social Security benefits cost about 5 percent of GDP each year.

Social Security Program Growth

Social Security Spending since 1935

Chart S.13f: Social Security Spending since 1935

Social Security, the federal old-age pension program, was passed in 1935 in time for the 1936 presidential election. The first old-age benefits were distributed in 1938.

Social Security benefits were modest in the early years and did not exceed one percent of GDP until 1955. But the program cost increased rapidly, reaching 2.2 percent of GDP in 1960.

Benefit increase slowed somewhat in the 1960s, reaching 3.2 percent in 1971. Costs increased again in the early 1970s before peaking at 4.81 percent in 1983.

Social Security benefits as a percent of GDP slowly declined for the rest of the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s down to a low of 4.0 percent of GDP in 2005. But the Great Recession o 2007-09 bumped Social Security up to 4.72 percent of GDP in 2010. Social Security spending has been just under 5 percent GDP since 2013. In 2023 Social Security spending was 4.90 percent GDP.

 

Social Security Disability Insurance Growth

Social Security Spending

Chart S.14f: Social Security Spending

The Social Security Disability Insurance Program was enacted in the 1950s and payments began in 1958. Eligibility requirements relaxed in the 1980s.

Starting from zero in 1957 Social Security’s Disability Insurance program reached 0.5 percent of GDP in 1975.

Peaking at 0.55 percent of GDP in the early 1980s, payments declined to a low of 0.43 percent in 1990. But then payments increased, breaching 0.5 percent of GDP in 1993 and 0.6 percent of GDP in 2002. DI reached 0.7 percent of GDP in 2006 and peaked at 0.85 percent of GDP in 2011-13. In 2023 DI was 0.55 percent GDP.

Social Security OASDI Trustees Report

Social Security will cost over 6 percent of GDP by 2037.

OASDI Trustees Report

Chart 2.93: OASDI Trustees Report

Every year the Social Security Administration publishes an OASDI Trustees Report. The latest report was published in March 2023.

The 2023 trustees report shows that Social Security’s two main programs, the Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) program and the Disability Insurance (DI) program cost 4.89 percent of GDP between them in 2022. The OASI program cost 4.31 percent of GDP and the DI program cost 0.58 percent of GDP.

Over the years since the Crash of 2008 Social Security costs have increased sharply as a percent of GDP. OASI has gone from 3.38 percent of GDP in 2007 to 4.03 percent of GDP in 2013; DI has gone from 0.67 percent of GDP in 2007 to a peak of 0.86 percent of GDP in 2012.

In the medium term Social Security costs are forecast to increase to 6 percent of GDP by 2040 and then max out at about 6.3 percent of GDP in the 2070s. OASI will be the main driver, hitting 5 percent of GDP in 2028 and increasing to 5.7 percent of GDP in 2075. DI costs are expected to decline slowly from 0.83 percent of GDP in 2014 to 0.60 percent of GDP in the mid 2030s and increasing to 0.69 percent GDP in the 2050s.

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Data Sources for 2019_2029:

Sources for 2019:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2029:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

Blog

Federal Budget for FY25 Released

On March 11, 2024, we updated usgovernmentspending.com with the numbers from the Public Budget Database in the Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 2025

Here is how headline budget estimates for the upcoming FY 2024 fiscal year have changed since the release of the FY 2024 budget a year ago in Winter 2023.

Federal Budget Changes for 2024
$ billionEstimate for 2024
in FY2024 Budget
Estimate for 2024
in FY2025 Budget
Change
Federal Outlays$6,371.8$6,940.9 +$569.1
Federal Receipts$4,802.5$5,081.6+$279.1
Federal Deficit$1,569.4$1,859.4+$290.0

You can see line item changes from budget to budget here. You can compare budget estimates with actuals here.

Account level spending estimates through FY 2029 come from the Outlays table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on March 11, 2024.

Account level budget authority estimates through FY 2029 come from the Budget Authority table in the Public Budget Database and were updated on usgovernmentspending.com on March 11, 2024. 

Agency Debt Update for 2023
On March 11, 2024, usgovernmentspending.com updated its data for agency debt from the Federal Reserve Board database. Data is now available for the period 1945-2023. You can see our Agency Debt pag ...

US GDP for 2023 Updated
On January 19, 2024 usgovernmentspending.com updated its GDP series with the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, ...

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